Interest rates are on the rise, economic growth is picking up and the stock market should do fine.
That’s the conventional wisdom at the moment, but iconoclastic bond guru Lacy Hunt at Hoisington Investment Management in Austin, Texas, isn’t buying it.
74-year-old Hunt, who lived through the inflation and price controls of the Nixon years in the 1970s and predicted the long bond bear market of that time, says that the current upward movement in interest rates is merely a blip in the long-term bull market in bonds.
The Bond Bull Market Continues
Of course, a bull market in bonds means that interest rates – already pretty meager – will go lower. Hunt can muster a pretty powerful argument that our low-rate, low-growth environment isn’t about to change anytime soon.